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to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> e see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996
, florida, after 24,000 people turned out to hear him in virginia. think about that. 24,000 in virginia. 23,000 people in florida today. in concord, new hampshire, this morning, when 14,000 people turned out to hear president obama, that was the largest crowd ever assembled for a political event in the entire state in new hampshire. in the entire history of the state of new hampshire. i realize new hampshire may not be big, but new hampshire is old. and this is the biggest political rally ever held in the state of new hampshire for the entire time that new hampshire has existed. we cannot be sure why more people are turning out to hear president obama today than are turning out to hear mitt romney. maybe it's just the power of incumbency. governor romney's rallies have been quite smaller, but these are quite good crowds all around. for both campaigns. in relative terms and in absolute terms. now it's the part of the campaign where we also start watching another variety of huge crowds. look at this. oh, man. crowds of people lining up to vote in florida. we have been getting reports that the
cain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we're going to pick up pennsylvania. we'll think we got a real good shot in virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. you know, that's the pathway to victory for john mccain and we're excited. we're hoping to see a lot of people out there in chicago on election night with barack obama experiencing a long, cold night, as we learn that john mccrane surprised them and won. >> it's nice he wishes physical discomfort on his political enemies, just gratuitously throwing that in. but notice what exactly he was so confidently predicting there. the day before the election in 2008, it was mitt romney. these were his predictions for states that john mccain was definitely going to win. >> john mccain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> you see how all those states were blue? mr. romney's confident predictions that john mccain was going to win ohio,
in cincinnati, ohio. the president drew a crowd of 23,000 people this afternoon in hollywood, florida, after 24,000 people turned out last night to hear him in virginia. think about that. 24,000 in virginia last night. 23,000 people in florida today. in concord, new hampshire, this morning, when 14,000 people turned out to hear president obama, that was the largest crowd ever assembled for a political event in the entire state of new hampshire. in the entire history of the state of new hampshire. i realize new hampshire may not be big, but new hampshire is old. and this is the biggest political rally ever held in the state of new hampshire for the entire time that new hampshire has existed. we cannot be sure why more people are turning out to hear president obama today than are turning out to hear mitt romney. maybe it's just the power of incumbency. people want to hear a president speak no matter who the president is just because he's a president. governor romney's rallies have today have been significantly smaller than obama's. for the romney campaign, these are really quite good crowds. all
parts of florida. yes, florida all over again. some people are waiting three hours or more to vote and we will be asking why governor rick scott in florida is refusing to extend hours as his predecessors have done. but we start with tonight's lead. the closer. just four days to go and president obama is sprinting to the finish line with a passionate pitch to ohio voters and he's doing so by dismantling governor romney's rationale in this race one line of the obama argument, i am the guy you know. >> after four years as president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i've made, you may be frustrated sometimes at the pace of change, but you know that i say what i mean and i mean what i say. you know what i believe. you know where i stand. you know i tell the truth. and you know i fight for working families every single day as hard as i know how. >> we know what this president believes. but governor romney -- >> with these guys, it all depends on who you're talking to, where you are, what time of day it is, what state you're in, what the polls say. how the weather is. it
will be decided, president obama leads in five of them. only holds on an average lead in florida. this is why mitt romney will not give up on campaigning until the bitter end. he's back on the stump tomorrow. in a last-ditch effort to pull off a shocker in these two states. it's not surprising. there are efforts underway to make it harder for people to vote. you're seeing the result of manmade voter suppression. lines for early voting stretched around corners in ohio. make no mistake, this is a calculated decision to limit access to polls. ohio secretary of state john husted has been the focal point of a lot of criticism. he approved the restriction on early voting around the state. the same is happening in florida. voters waited as late as 2:30 a.m. to cast a ballot this weekend. voters reported wait times of up to, i cannot believe this number, seven hours. more people voting in democratic-leaning areas is bad for the gop. republican governor rick scott reduced number of early voting days and was able to defeat a court challenge to uphold his ruling in most of the state of florida. republicans,
states. ohio and florida. the latest nbc news "wall street journal" m.arist poll shows president obama holding on a six-point lead among likely voters in the buckeye state. meanwhile in florida an creamily tight race there two points separating the candidates with the president ahead in the sunshine states 49 to 47%. so much of this race, of course, depends on these two states. ohio and florida. for some insight i want to bring in our nbc news deputy political editor. let's start with ohio good friend. if mitt romney can't win in ohio what would his path to 270, what would his path to victory have to look like. >> makes it very narrow for mitt romney. if president obama wins ohio he's at 261 electoral votes based on our battleground map. if mitt romney gets virginia and florida he's stuck to 248. new hampshire where he owns a home but the president probably a finger on the scale now we're at 261-261 and we've been talking all along about the midwest and importance of ohio, wisconsin and iowa and the necessity for mitt romney to win two of those three. look at that right there. you got
for a very heavy dose of flova. the view from the ground florida, virginia and ohio. here's a look at the president's schedule. romney's schedule, looks like he's making some time for the key stone state. and the vice president stopping by "hardball" tomorrow night. we're locked up right here in democracy plaza. ah. fire bad! just have to fire roast these tomatoes. do you churn your own butter too? what? this is going to give you a head start on your dinner. that seems easier sure does who are you? [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. five delicious cooking sauces you combine with fresh ingredients to make amazing home-cooked meals. ♪ ambiance [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. your head-start to home cooked. i have a cold, and i took nyquil, but i'm still stubbed up. [ male announcer ] truth is, nyquil doesn't unstuff your nose. what? [ male announcer ] it doesn't have a decongestant. no way. [ male announcer ] sorry. alka-seltzer plus fights your worst cold symptoms plus has a fast-acting decongestant to relieve your stuffy nose. thanks. [ male a
the importance of that state by now. and two points ahead of governor romney in florida. but within the margin of error. also, early voting in florida ends today after the number of early voting days in that state is cut by half this year. 25 million people have already voted early in 34 states and washington, d.c. >>> and back to the frenetic pace on the campaign trail. both candidates have already held rallies in new hampshire, iowa, and wisconsin. >> you do want to be able to trust your president. you want to know -- you want to know that -- that your president means what he says and says what he means. after four years of president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i have made. you may at times have been frustrated by the pace of change, but you know what i believe. you know where i stand. >> made a lot of promises, but those promises he couldn't keep. and the difference between us, he made promises he couldn't keep. i'm making promises i have kept and i will keep them for the american people. i have a clear and unequivocal message, and that is america is about to come ro
, time for a very heavy dose of flova. the view from the ground in the big three, florida, virginia and ohio. we'll go to each state live. >>> and speaking of flova, florida, ohio, virginia, here's a look at the president's schedule. romney's schedule, looks like he's making some time for the key stone state. and the vice president stopping by "hardball" tomorrow night. be sure to check it out. you're watching a primetime edition of "the daily rundown." we are locked up right here in democracy plaza. we'll be right back. [ woman ] ring. ring. progresso. i just finished a bowl of your new light chicken pot pie soup and it's so rich and creamy... is it really 100 calories? let me put you on webcan... ...lean roasted chicken... and a creamy broth mmm i can still see you. [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. ♪ [ snoring ] [ male announcer ] introducing zzzquil sleep-aid. [ snoring ] [ snoring ] [ male announcer ] it's not for colds, it's not for pain, it's just for sleep. [ snoring ] [ male announcer ] because sleep is a beautiful thing. [ birds chirping ] introduc
in florida. and team romney thinks they have it all locked up. >> it looks like the map is starting to he can pand drastically in our favor. >> the spin from the right just keeps oncoming. tonight, richard wolffe and jonathan altar have a massive day on the campaign trail. >>> plus, all the latest on a bizarre day of early voting in florida. the romney campaign finally addresses their chief lie. james hoffa of the teamster reacts. and karen finney and e.j. dionne talk about the rightys who blame hurricane sandy for the rough finish. >> the hurricane is what has broke romney's momentum. >> good to have you with us, folks. the days are racing by and time is running out for the 2012 presidential campaign. mitt romney needs something short of a miracle in the worst way. the campaign continues to trail but romney went to cleveland today to project strength. >> the chose of the american people can lead to one of two very different destinations. if the president were to be re-elected, he would -- it's possible but not likely. >> romney's running mate paul ryan is trying to complete a hail mary pass
but the lines as long as six hours in florida have led to a major development in that state. and we will have a lot more on that later. in these final 48 hours, this race has become an all-out sprint. today president obama chris crossed the country starting in new hampshire. flying to florida and ohio for events. and ending the rally in colorado. governor romney began in iowa and held events in ohio and pennsylvania. he will end his day in virginia. president obama whipped voters into fever pitch on the trail. today, before record crowd of 14,000 in new hampshire. and then last night, it was another ruckus rally under virginia. >> now it's all up to you. it is up to the volunteers. it is -- it's up to somebody knocking on the door. it is up to someone making a phone call. it's up to someone talking to their mom or dad or their wife or husband or grandma or grandpa. and that's how democracy's supposed to be. it is up to you. you've got the power. and that's why i need you, virginia. don't get tired. don't get weary. if you're willing to knock on some doors with me and make some phone calls for
the latest on a bizarre day of early voting in florida. the romney campaign finally addresses their lie. and karen finney responds to the righties who blame hurricane sandy for mitt romney's rough finish. >> the hurricane is what broke romney's momentum. >> good to have you with us tonight. folks, thanks for watching. the days are racing by and time is running out. mitt romney needs something short of a miracle in the worst way. romney went to clooeflds today to project strength. in the choice of the american people can lead to one of two very different destinations. if the president were to be reelected -- [ booing ] >> it's possible, but not likely. >> romney's running mate paul ryan is trying to complete a hale mary pass in wisconsin. he was tailgating with packer fans today at lambeau field. then it was off to ohio as well. >> two more days. just two more days. two more days. this is one of those elections we will think back at and look at for years. >> the national polling average has president obama on top by just half a point. romney isn't as close in the states where the electio
. running mate paul ryan will hold events in ohio, pennsylvania, virginia, and florida. meanwhile, president obama was quick to respond to governor romney's latest attacks during his tour through ohio on friday. >> suddenly he's the candidate of change. but we know what change looks like. and what he's trying to sell, that ain't it. that ain't it. >> two new nbc/"wall street journal"/marist polls to show with you this morning. president obama with a six-point lead among likely voters in ohio. the numbers you see there, 51% to 45%. then going on to florida, the president gets support from 49% of likely voters. mitt romney, very close behind with 47%. let's go now to the latest on governor romney's campaign stops today. he starts off with a rally coming up in just about two hours, 9:00 a.m. nbc's peter alexander is in new hampshire. good morning to you, peter. >> alex, good morning to you. we're on the tarmac here now in new hampshire, specifically just a short time from now this is going to fill up with a big crowd greeting mitt romney and then sending him on his wail for what will be an exha
of time here in new hampshire. >> the great state of ohio, thank you so much. >> florida, we know what changes. >> your help, pennsylvania -- >> i need you, ohio. >> virginia is the best. >> turn out for me, colorado. we will win this state. >> as the candidates barnstorm the battleground states, new polls show the president may have caught an 11th hour break with voters in this deadlocked race may be moving ever so slightly in his direction. our new nbc news/"the wall street journal" poll the president does lead 48% to 47% among likely voters. a look at other national polls confirm it's razor tight, maybe even a mirror image of the 2004 showdown between president bush and senator john kerry. we see some movement towards the president. obama leads by seven points, almost four in ten. and he leads by four points in the battleground states, again, though, within the margin of error. the president is holding on to an eight-point advantage among women and that's slightly higher than romney's edge among men. the president's job rating sits at 49%. take a look at these numbers. 67% of likely
hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the end. >> what's it going to mean for obama if obama wins it is the ground level organizat
for the oval office began all those years o years ago. mitt romney, five stop, five states. he began in florida, follow stops in virginia, the president following the president in ohio. then his final day in his home away from home, new hampshire. this morning though in florida, governor romney -- capable of bringing about change. >> it comes down to this. do the people want four more years like the last four years? or do you want real change finally? >> president obama all weekend on the campaign trail telling supporters that they know him. and he's the one, the only one, that they can trust. >> you may not agree with every decision i've made, michelle doesn't agree with me on everything. you may sometimes be frustrated at the pace of change. i get frustrated at the pace of change sometime, but you know, i say what i mean and i mean what i say. >> both candidates appearing before enormous crowds with enormous stakes. three new polls show the race even steven in the final stretch. >> let's just pause for a moment and appreciate you close this race is. >> the president is stubbornly holding on.
on the stump in florida today. the candidate is still staying quiet on his commitment to fema, but a campaign spokesperson released this statement, so good that we can hear from the campaign on this and not the candidate, right? "a romney/ryan administration will always ensure that disaster funding is there for those in need, period." period? vice president joe biden was campaigning also in the sunshine state today. president obama returns to the campaign trail tomorrow. he plans to barnstorm seven battleground states over the next several days. but today we did not see politics in action. what we saw was government in action. people with authority to make decisions. chris christie is not the first person, i think, that you would think of when you come to the, you know, arena of bipartisan cooperation. he is a mitt romney supporter and a fierce opponent of many democratic issues. for whatever reason, we saw a different chris christie with president obama today. this is what cooperation looks like. when the american people need government to work, these two elected officials became leaders and
this election. >> trouble at the polls. long waits in early voting lines in ohio and florida, but put tempers to the test. >> let them vote! >> the other big wild card, sandy. a week after the storm recovery efforts are still winding slowly through the hardest hit. new jersey governor chris christie who praised president obama's response to sandy repeated his support for mitt romney. sort of. >> on tuesday i'm voting for mitt romney because i think he's the best guy for the job. it doesn't mean that i can't turn to the president of the united states of america and say to him, thank you, sir, for providing good leadership in this crisis. >> and whom do you trust? the grid iron predicts. a redskin hometown defeat favors the challenger but the lsu/alabama matchup offers good news for the incumbent. >> and good day. i'm andrea mitchell live in democracy plaza in new york city. joining me for our daily fix, chris cizilla, msnbc contributor, and managing editor of post politics.com and mark halperin political analyst for "time" and msnbc. so, first to you, chris, let's talk about the state of the r
'll talk about what happened in florida as well. you have three to four hours. people have jobs and have places to go, but they also want to vote. it is utterly important. what's going on there? >> reporter: in ohio there is only one early voting center for every county. so, for instance, a couple of weeks ago i was in dlcolumbus where the early voting center is outside of columbus. it was the same scene. there's only one center in each county. a lot of people want it to vote early. some had to vote early because of work schedules tomorrow, and that's why the lines are so long. tamron. >> thank you very much in cincinnati. greatly appreciate your time. for the candidates themselves, this is it. right now president obama just landed in ohio, the state where you saw those long lines just a second ago, after a morning stop in wisconsin. mitt romney is headed to his second stop in virginia. the president will close out his final day of campaigning in iowa, the state that pushed him into the national spotlight. mitt romney will make his land stand later today in his home away from home, new h
just wrapped up a florida. now, he's headed to virginia and then back here to ohio. he'll end his day in new hampshire. polls show this race is extremely close. a dead heat nationally. very close in the battleground states. perhaps a very slight advantage for president obama. he seems to have a little bit of momentum going into the final day. well, democrats point to long lines for early voting as a sign of enthusiasm, but republicans say their crowds are bigger and the obama magic from 2008 has warn off. the president's closing argument, a fair shot for everyone and a chance to do even better. >> we've made real progress these past four years, but here's the thing, ohio. we know we've got more work to do. that's why we're here today. >> but mitt romney says four years under a president romney will deliver change. >> four years ago, let's look at the promises the president made. he promised to do so very much. but frankly, he fell so very short. you hope that president obama would live up to his promise to bring people together to solve big problems, but he hasn't and i will. >> joini
to nbc's first read, romney was in florida yesterday and virginia today. he'll also hit wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, and colorado before the election. the president, this is an interesting map for him, he will be in wisconsin, where he is right now, with nevada, colorado, ohio, iowa, virginia, and florida. of course, they're sending their number one surrogates, the vp nominee, out where they're not going. is this the map, centered in ohio, virginia, and florida, is it still where the action is? >> it is for governor romney for sure. it's always been the case that governor romney needs to win florida, needs to win virginia, and pretty much needs to win ohio. even then he still needs to pick up another state somewhere along the way. you can see in his map that he's spending months of his time in florida, virginia, and ohio and a little bit of time in one of those other states that he thinks he might be able to get a pickup, whether that's wisconsin, whether that's colorado. those are the states he thinks he has the best chance. he's not spending time in iowa. he'll spend two different
voters have been identified as democrats in ohio, nevada, iowa, florida, and north carolina according to the associated press. republicans have the edge in colorado. let's turn to bob shrum, professor of public policy at nyu and contributor to the daily beast. great to have you with us tonight. let's leave the names out of it for a moment. obama and romney. let's just take candidate a and candidate b. who would you want to be right now with the numbers playing? >> you would want to be candidate a assuming that's the unmentionable who is the president of the united states. he has a lot of roots to 270 electoral votes. if you look at candidate b, candidate b isn't even going to florida in the next few days. you can interpret that in one of two ways. a thinks he's already got it won, and the polls don't show that at all, or alternatively he thinks he has to bet he hasn't won, that he can't carry ohio, so he has to go to pennsylvania as john mccain did, as other republicans have over the last 12, 20 years, and they never carried the state. >> so why -- with that number, and the -- with th
heads to florida for an event with recording artist pitt bull. he ends his day in colorado with dave matthews. mitt romney kicked off this f d final sunday in iowa with a rally in des moines. >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want four more years like the last four years or do you want real change? look, president obama promised change but he couldn't deliver it. i not only promised change, i have a record of achieving it. >> governor romney has events scheduled in pennsylvania and virginia, but before that, he heads to ohio. a new poll shows the race tied in pennsylvania. "the pittsburgh tribune" poll show them both at 47%. president obama is leading by five points in iowa 47% to 42%. governor romney is set to speak in cleveland in the next hour. chris jansing is there for us. good morning. >> good morning to you, alex. we'll hear a two-prong message and the same that we heard from barack obama. the first is vote. this is trench warfare in the closing hours of the campaign. both sides believe that this game is going to be won on the ground and they have be
carried 28 states last time, he carried 26 or 27 states this time, depending on how florida goes. that means republicans did lose everything else, but got back indiana and also north carolina. so it was not a totally hopeless night for republicans. also, hey, remember the crazy thaddeus mccotter seat in michigan, where thaddeus mccotter screwed up and they had to run this reindeer herder, santa claus impersonator for the seat, a guy whose own brother says he's crazy. that guy won. the shirtless reindeer guy won. so the republicans have him. big picture in the house, thanks mostly to redistricting the republicans were not in danger of losing the house, and they didn't legal cause it, even though the republican majority appears to have shrunk there. and even though they did get the reindeer guy. but in terms of, honestly, of what went well for republicans in this election, that was pretty much it. it is a short list. want to talk about what went well on the other side last night? i'm actually going to pause for a second to give you a chance to hit pause on your dvr in case you want
virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> good morning. look at that, how beautiful. we are here. we are here. what are we, a day away? this is so exciting. good morning, everyone. >> he said it wasn't going to be close. and then he said it was going to be close. maybe he was talking about president clinton. >> it's monday, november 5th, the day before election day. we have with us mike barnicle, senior political analyst, mark halperin, willie's just walked in. i don't know why you're laughing. >> me? >> no, mike. >> this lighting is disturbing. i don't know who did it. i don't like it. i'm just going to say that right up front. but i'm happy this weekend -- today because this weekend there was a huge sporting event that all the world tuned to. and i can tell you i've never been more proud of the vanderbilt commodores, dudley stadium. >> no, they went on the road and did that. they went to kentucky, to commonwealth stadium. sure. 40-0, 5-4. mika, one more win and vandy's bowl eligible. look how excited mika is. >> that's amazing. >> midas. >> laugh it
vote. let's go vote. let's go do this! >> this morning, mitt romney campaigned in florida before heading to virginia this afternoon. then columbus, ohio this evening. later tonight mitt romney will campaign in manchester new hampshire. here is mitt romney today in ohio. >> if the president were to be re-elected, he still won't be able to work with the people in congress, of course, because he's ignored them, he's attacked them, he's blamed them. the debt ceiling will come up again and then there will be a threat of shutdown or defaults. and if that happens, the economy will become frozen and we'll have a harder time with jobs. >> president obama will spend election day in chicago where he will observe his election day ritual of playing basketball. mitt romney will continue to campaign in cleveland ohio and pittsburgh, pennsylvania tomorrow. as of this hour, nate silver of the new york times 538 blog predicts that president obama will win 314, and mitt romney will win 227. the nate silver formula has increased the odds in favor of the president even more. i have very little faith
, swing through florida, got to change planes in ohio. mitt romney not only focused on ohio but is trying to broaden the battleground map. what is he up to here with this decision to campaign in pennsylvania on sunday? he's also got new hampshire on his list twice not once. the smallest swing state. they think it is edging their direction but more importantly for their math the 270 they don't get there with florida, virginia, ohio. they get there with florida, virginia, ohio, and one small state in this case new hampshire. meanwhile vice president joe biden makes two stops in wisconsin. congressman paul ryan begins his day in colorado before flying back to the midwest for a rally in cedar falls, iowa. then he joins romney in westchester in ohio tonight. then there's former president bill clinton for the fifth player in all of this if you will and look at his schedule today in florida. he goes to lake worth, then ft. myers, then st. petersburg, then tallahassee. he's got five events in total today in florida. and you know the way he talks. talk about a hoarse voice by the end of the day it
. >> okay, alex, thank you. >>> straight ahead, why is florida still counting? gether, and these come together, one thing you can depend on is that these will come together. delicious and wholesome. some combinations were just meant to be. tomato soup from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. ♪ ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] don't just reject convention. drown it out. introducing the all-new 2013 lexus ls f sport. an entirely new pursuit. i wish my patients could see what i see. ♪ that over time, having high cholesterol and any of these risk factors can put them at increased risk for plaque buildup in their arteries. so it's even more important to lower their cholesterol, and that's why, when diet and exercise alone aren't enough, i prescribe crestor. in a clinical trial versus lipitor, crestor got more high-risk patients' bad cholesterol to a goal of under 100. [ female announcer ] crestor is not right for everyone. like people with liver disease or women who are nursing, pregnant or may become pregnant. tell your doctor about other medicines you're taking. call your doctor rig
was in florida today. let's take a look. five stops down there. >> what president obama is saying, look at me, i'm always willing to work with republicans, i work with governor christie in new jersey on sandy. i tried to work with him on the budget. i tried to work with him on health care. and what they say is we'll work with the democrats if you put us in charge. now, that's the message, and you just have to decide whether you think that's a good message. >> there's bill out there. getting all the attention, but it's great. >> there is no better surrogate for anybody than bill clinton. he's very popular in florida. i'll tell what you else, bloomberg, he might as well also be the mayor of broward county. there are so many new yorkers who are dual residents. >> they still read "the new york post" because they think it's liberal. >> they still read "the new york post." florida has 22% independents, people who listen to bloomberg and clinton, and that fema thing i think is also going to hurt romney. >> author think shift used to be, when she would delair the victory, it was over. >> florida may be
.8 million absentee ballots have already been cast. that's up from 2008. in florida, nearly 4.5 million people have already voted early or by absentee coming very close to the number from last time. president obama voted early this year. he'll do swing state interviews and then will play his traditional election day basketball game while awaiting the returns from chicago. mr. romney has added to last-minute campaign stops in ohio and pennsylvania after he votes in massachusetts. running mate paul ryan will vote in wisconsin before joining romney in boston and vice president joe biden will vote in delaware before joining the president in ohio. we have details on the candidates' final frantic day of campaigning. tracy i poe tracie potts is wit >>> look at the cincinnati enquirer with the faceoff picture in the headline. it's all up to us. ohio at the center of the political universe. while this state may in fact be important, it wasn't the first to vote. for the first time ever and with its lowest turnout in almost 50 years, a tie this morning in tiny dixville notch. they cast five votes
monolithic voting group. vicky, i want to turn to you, the florida numbers are particularly fascinating approximate this. we were looking at a recent poll from the miami herald that looks at sort of obama and romney support. when you include cuban americans in the counting, president obama is leading by a slight margin, 51%. if, however, you look at it with cuban americans excluded from it, then all of a sudden president obama it leading at about 65%. obviousli obviously, that's an krags indication that you end up with national origin and other issues. >> i think florida is a microcosm for that diversity. in south florida, the miami area, you have a cuban american vote that's very republican. regardless of the generation. then you go into the i-4 corridor and you see the explosion of the puerto rican vote. interestingly enough, you have democrats but also a growing number of independents. then if you go even further, you have a smattering of mexican americans. what is the trend for the future there. it's not mexican americans in texas. it's going to be puerto ricans and cuban americans.
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